Financial and Actuarial Statistics: An Introduction, 2nd Edition
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ABOUT THIS BOOK Since the first edition was published, statistical techniques, such as reliability measurement, simulation, regression, and Markov chain modeling, have become more prominent in the financial and actuarial industries. Consequently, practitioners and students must acquire strong mathematical and statistical backgrounds in order to have successful careers. Financial and Actuarial Statistics: An Introduction, Second Edition enables readers to obtain the necessary mathematical and statistical background. It also advances the application and theory of statistics in modern financial and actuarial modeling. Like its predecessor, this second edition considers financial and actuarial modeling from a statistical point of view while adding a substantial amount of new material. -Discusses actuarial and financial models and computations from a statistical perspective, developing confidence and prediction intervals for actuarial and financial statistics and using order statistics to introduce multiple life status models -Extends conventional treatments of Markov chains and applications to actuarial science by using various models based on life table data to compute survival and decrement probabilities as well as standard actuarial present value expectations -Describes modern simulation techniques for analyzing investment pricing, surplus models, and actuarial statistics -Includes many new end-of-chapter exercises and problems with solutions TABLE OF CONTENTS Statistical Concepts Probability Random Variables Expectations Moment Generating Function Survival Functions Nonnegative Random Variables Conditional Distributions Joint Distributions Statistical Techniques Sampling Distributions and Estimation Sums of Independent Variables Order Statistics and Empirical Prediction Intervals Approximating Aggregate Distributions Compound Aggregate Variables Regression Modeling Autoregressive Systems Model Diagnostics Financial Computational Models Fixed Financial Rate Models Fixed-Rate Annuities Stochastic Rate Models Deterministic Status Models Basic Loss Model Stochastic Loss Criterion Single-Risk Models Collective Aggregate Models Stochastic Surplus Model Future Lifetime Random Variables and Life Tables Continuous Future Lifetime Discrete Future Lifetime Force of Mortality Fractional Ages Select Future Lifetimes Survivorship Groups Life Models and Life Tables Life Table Confidence Sets and Prediction Intervals Life Models and Life Table Parameters Select and Ultimate Life Tables Stochastic Status Models Stochastic Present Value Functions Risk Evaluations Percentile Evaluations Life Insurance Life Annuities Relating Risk Calculations Actuarial Life Tables Loss Models and Insurance Premiums Reserves General Time Period Models Expense Models and Computations Advanced Stochastic Status Models Multiple Future Lifetimes Multiple-Decrement Models Pension Plans Markov Chain Methods Introduction to Markov Chains Nonhomogeneous Stochastic Status Chains Homogeneous Stochastic Status Chains Survivorship Chains Scenario and Simulation Testing Scenario Testing Simulation Techniques Investment Pricing Applications Stochastic Surplus Application Future Directions in Simulation Analysis Further Statistical Considerations Mortality Adjustment Models Mortality Trend Modeling Actuarial Statistics Data Set Simplifications Appendix A: Excel Statistical Functions, Basic Mathematical Functions, and Add-Ins Appendix B: Acronyms and Principal Sections References Subject Index Index ABOUT THE AUTHORS Dale S. Borowiak is a Professor Emeritus at the University of Akron, where he served for 35 years teaching statistics and initiating the actuarial science program. He received a Ph.D. from Bowling Green State University. His research has been published in professional journals in the fields of statistics, actuarial science, and engineering. He also published Model Discrimination for Nonlinear Regression Models, along with the first edition of the current text. Arnold F. Shapiro is a Professor Emeritus at the Pennsylvania State University, where he was director of the actuarial program. He received a Ph. D. from the University of Pennsylvania (Wharton). He has published more than 100 articles in professional journals and two books. A Fellow of the Society of Actuaries and an Enrolled Actuary, he been a recipient of the Innovation in Teaching Award from the American Risk and Insurance Association and the Best Research Paper Award from the Health Section of the Society of Actuaries.
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